WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - Semi-finals29 Jan 2026 · 11:25
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
PEGULA
2.97
·
RYBAKINA
1.45

Odds

Market
Pegula
Rybakina
Winner
2.97
1.45
Total
line 17.5
1.12
Over 17.5
4.8
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.15
Over 18.0
4.5
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
2.41
-2.0 games
1.62
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.36
-2.5 games
1.62
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 22.1, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.16Trend mixed

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Pegula
Stat
Rybakina
66.4%
Win rate
68.8%
290–147
W–L
207–94

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

35
Hard 24
Indoor 11
J. Pegula vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsRybakina1-6 6-7
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - Semi-finalsRybakina3-6 6-7
Finals - RiyadhIndoorSemi-finalsRybakina6-4 4-6 3-6
WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World GroupHardRybakina6-4 6-1
WTA Finals - CancunIndoorPegula5-7 2-6
WTA MiamiHardSemi-finalsRybakina7-6 6-4
Guadalajara 2Hard1/16-finalsPegula2-6 6-3 7-6
MiamiHard1/16-finalsPegula6-3 6-4