M. Tobon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 31.1, with at least one match where M. Tobon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

M. Barreiros Reyes comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.3 to 35.8, with at least one match where M. Barreiros Reyes was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Barreiros Reyes vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Barreiros Reyes has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.