Odds
Player analysis
A. Tomljanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 20.4, with at least one match where A. Tomljanovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Vekic | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Anisimova | 6-1 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 17 Mar | Waltert | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Wang | 3-6 1-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Pegula | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Putintseva | 6-3 6-3 | W |

