US OpenHard1/32-finals27 Aug 2025 · 22:50
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
T. Valentova
#49 · Czech Republic
RYBAKINA
1.24
·
VALENTOVA
4.45

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Valentova
Winner
1.24
4.45
Total
line 17.5
1.26
Over 17.5
3.82
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.31
Over 18.0
3.43
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
6.59
-7.5 games
1.11
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
5.76
-7.0 games
1.14
+7 games

Player analysis

E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 5.08Trend mixed

T. Valentova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning T. Valentova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving T. Valentova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.38Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

5 MarVekic7-6 7-6L
10 FebValentova1-6 4-6W
9 FebEala6-7 1-6W
7 FebValentova3-6 6-2 6-4L
6 FebValentova6-2 2-6 7-6L
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

14 MarRybakina7-5 6-4L
13 MarPegula1-6 6-7W
10 MarKostyuk4-6 4-6W
7 MarBaptiste6-7 6-2 2-6W
17 FebRybakina6-1 6-2L

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Valentova
68.8%
Win rate
78.7%
207–94
W–L
74–20

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3

Head to head

20
Hard 20
E. Rybakina vs T. Valentova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsRybakina6-2 6-3
US OpenHard1/32-finalsRybakina6-3 7-6