Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
R. Zarazua has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -37.0 to 42.1, with at least one match where R. Zarazua was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving R. Zarazua vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Zarazua has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Pegula | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Putintseva | 6-3 6-3 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 2 Apr | Starodubtseva | 1-6 0-6 | L |
| 2 Apr | Baptiste | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 30 Mar | Stephens | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Sasnovich | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Mar | Trevisan | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | W |

