Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Q. Zheng comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning Q. Zheng has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving Q. Zheng vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Q. Zheng has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Pegula | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Putintseva | 6-3 6-3 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Doha | Hard | 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 6-4 2-6 5-7 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Zheng | 6-7 6-3 1-6 | ||
| WTA Beijing | Hard | 1/32-finals | Rybakina | 1-6 2-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 6-7 5-7 |

