PortoHard1/16-finals29 Jul 2025 · 12:10
N. Alvarez Varona
#461 · Spain
VS
M. Soto
#323 · Chile

Odds

Market
Varona
Soto
Winner

Player analysis

N. Alvarez Varona comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning N. Alvarez Varona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Alvarez Varona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS -1.07Trend mixed

M. Soto comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.4, meaning M. Soto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Soto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Soto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -11.39Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

18 SepBoitan6-7 6-3 6-4L
17 SepRoncadelli4-6 4-6W
1 SepFaria6-3 3-6 4-6L
29 AugBailly2-6 6-3 4-6L
27 AugBarrena4-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

10 MarAlboran7-5 6-3L
2 MarSilva6-1 4-6 6-4L
24 FebGaubas2-6 3-6L
8 FebDjuric6-7 7-6 10-7W
29 JanTabilo6-2 6-3L

Hard court stats

Varona
Stat
Soto
55.4%
Win rate
50.7%
67–54
W–L
36–35

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3