Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Thursday, March 26, 2026
20 matches · ATP 2 · WTA 1 · CH 17
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
F. Tiafoe vs J. Sinner ATP - Singles: Miami | 19.94 → 14.41 | -27.7% | ↗ |
E. Ribeiro vs R. A. Burruchaga Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 4.33 → 4.68 | +8.1% | ↗ |
D. Altmaier vs A. Guerrieri Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 3.77 → 4.06 | +7.7% | ↗ |
P. Martinez vs R. Bertola Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 3.20 → 3.44 | +7.5% | ↗ |
Y. H. Hsu vs Y. Shimizu Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 2.34 → 2.51 | +7.3% | ↗ |
A. Galarneau vs L. Pavlovic Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.72 → 1.63 | -5.0% | ↗ |
C. Gauff vs K. Muchova WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.94 → 2.05 | +5.9% | ↗ |
J. P. Ficovich vs T. Schoolkate Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.36 → 1.40 | +3.5% | ↗ |
N. Honda vs L. Broady Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 1.17 → 1.14 | -2.3% | ↗ |
N. Mejia vs C. Rodesch Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.40 → 1.42 | +1.3% | ↗ |
J. McCabe vs H. Matsuoka Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 1.53 → 1.54 | +0.8% | ↗ |
J. Choinski vs R. Safiullin Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.66 → 1.67 | +0.5% | ↗ |
E. Dalla Valle vs L. Giustino Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 1.61 → 1.61 | -0.4% | ↗ |
A. Barrena vs J. P. Varillas Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.79 → 1.79 | -0.4% | ↗ |
M. Houkes vs V. Gaubas Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.49 → 1.49 | +0.2% | ↗ |
P. Jubb vs H. Wendelken Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 1.79 → 1.79 | 0.0% | ↗ |
H. Medjedovic vs S. Sakellaridis Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | — → 1.30 | 0.0% | ↗ |
C. A. Caniato vs A. Muller Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | — → 3.22 | 0.0% | ↗ |
T. Paul vs A. Fils ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.79 → 1.79 | 0.0% | ↗ |
F. Sun vs M. Imamura Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 1.57 → 1.57 | 0.0% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Thursday, March 26, 2026
Pinnacle's tennis markets on March 26, 2026 covered 21 matches in 7 active tournaments on clay and hard court. Line movement was moderate relative to recent Thursdays, with 7 matches moving 5% or more. The largest single shift was 27.7% on F. Tiafoe in ATP Miami. A full ranked breakdown of all line movements follows below.
Biggest Odds Drifts on March 26, 2026 — Pinnacle Tennis
Sorted by absolute percentage change, the top five Pinnacle line movers on March 26, 2026 were: F. Tiafoe vs J. Sinner (ATP Miami, -27.7%, 19.94 → 14.41, sharp money entered on Tiafoe, shortening his odds and making him the favourite); E. Ribeiro vs R. A. Burruchaga (CH-M Sao Paulo, +8.1%, 4.33 → 4.68, the underdog attracted late money); D. Altmaier vs A. Guerrieri (CH-M Naples, +7.7%, 3.77 → 4.06, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite); P. Martinez vs R. Bertola (CH-M Montemar, +7.5%, 3.20 → 3.44, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog); Y. H. Hsu vs Y. Shimizu (CH-M Yokkaichi, +7.3%, 2.34 → 2.51, the market moved against the favourite).
The top mover, F. Tiafoe in ATP Miami, showed a -27.7% change — 5.3 times the day's average movement. When a single match moves this far from open, it typically reflects either late injury news, sharp syndicate activity, or a significant mismatch between public and professional opinion on the match outcome.
March 26, 2026 Odds Movement Summary
The March 26, 2026 Pinnacle tennis market showed no clear directional bias — shortening and drifting were nearly even. Average movement across all 21 matches was 5.2% — higher than yesterday's 5.1%, with 7 markets exceeding 5%. The CH-M Yokkaichi had the most matches of the day, with those matches averaging 2.1% movement per match. Zero-movement markets — where Pinnacle held its opening price — numbered 6, representing 29% of the day's activity.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. In the data table above, the OPEN column shows the initial Pinnacle price and the CUR column (labelled CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.