Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Korda | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 14 Mar | Medvedev | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Norrie | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Mar | Ruud | 6-1 7-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Atmane | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 6-2 6-4 | |
| Olympic Games | Grass | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 1-6 1-6 | |
| ATP French Open | Clay | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 3-6 3-6 1-6 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | 1/16-finals | Alcaraz | 2-6 3-6 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | |
| Basel | Indoor | Semi-finals | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 2-6 | |
| ATP Davis Cup - World Group | Hard | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 4-6 2-6 |