Odds
Player analysis
M. Bellucci has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning M. Bellucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 1 Apr | Darderi | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 31 Mar | Bennani | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Michelsen | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 17 Mar | Cassone | 3-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 17 Mar | Jarry | 6-3 6-1 | W |

