TokyoHardFinal30 Sep 2025 · 11:10
C. Alcaraz
#1 · Spain
VS
T. Fritz
#9 · USA
ALCARAZ
1.28
·
FRITZ
4.07

Odds

Market
Alcaraz
Fritz
Winner
1.28
4.07

Player analysis

C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 6.65Trend up

T. Fritz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 6.31Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Alcaraz
Stat
Fritz
78%
Win rate
64.2%
156–44
W–L
324–181

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved80%
Aces12
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

61
Indoor 31
Hard 20
Grass 10
C. Alcaraz vs T. Fritz head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - TurinIndoorAlcaraz6-7 7-5 6-3
Six Kings SlamIndoorSemi-finalsAlcaraz6-4 6-2
TokyoHardFinalAlcaraz6-4 6-4
ATP Laver CupIndoorFritz3-6 2-6
WimbledonGrassSemi-finalsAlcaraz4-6 7-5 3-6 6-7
ATP Laver CupIndoorAlcaraz6-2 7-5
ATP MiamiHardQuarter-finalsAlcaraz6-4 6-2