J-L. Struff comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning J-L. Struff has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J-L. Struff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J-L. Struff has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -39 over recent matches.

C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.