Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.9 to 26.9, with at least one match where A. Zverev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Apr | Virtanen | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sinner | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vacherot | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 10 Apr | Bublik | 6-3 6-0 | W |
| 9 Apr | Etcheverry | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 18 Apr | Cobolli | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 17 Apr | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 16 Apr | Diallo | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 14 Apr | Kecmanovic | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 4-6 3-6 | |
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Zverev | 7-6 6-4 | ||
| ATP French Open | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-2 7-5 1-6 2-6 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 3-6 1-6 | |
| ATP Australian Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Zverev | 6-1 6-3 6-7 6-4 | |
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Zverev | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | ||
| ATP US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-2 6-4 | |
| ATP Madrid | Clay | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 6-1 6-2 | |
| French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Zverev | 6-4 6-4 4-6 7-6 |

