Odds
Player analysis
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 23 Mar | Baptiste | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 20 Mar | Ostapenko | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 22 Mar | Alexandrova | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | W |
| 20 Mar | Alexandrova | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 6 Mar | Alexandrova | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 17 Feb | Alexandrova | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | W |
| 10 Feb | Alexandrova | 4-6 2-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Doha | Hard | 1/16-finals | Ostapenko | 4-6 2-6 | |
| Stuttgart | Clay | Semi-finals | Ostapenko | 4-6 4-6 | |
| WTA Linz | Indoor | Final | Ostapenko | 6-2 6-3 | |
| WTA Adelaide | Hard | Semi-finals | Ostapenko | 2-6 6-7 | |
| WTA San Diego | Hard | 1/16-finals | Ostapenko | 6-7 7-6 5-7 | |
| Seoul | Hard | Final | Alexandrova | 6-7 | |
| Madrid | Clay | 1/32-finals | Alexandrova | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |