Odds
Player analysis
D. Lajovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.8 to 12.4, with at least one match where D. Lajovic was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
D. Altmaier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.3 with a downward trend. D. Altmaier is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 29 Apr | Herbert | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 24 Apr | Rinderknech | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 22 Apr | Sonego | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 21 Apr | Rodesch | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Arnaldi | 6-0 3-6 6-4 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Cerundolo | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Molcan | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 14 Apr | Cilic | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 6 Apr | Machac | 4-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Prizmic | 3-6 7-6 7-6 | W |

