F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

D. Altmaier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 22.6, with at least one match where D. Altmaier was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Altmaier has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.