BeijingHardQuarter-finals2 Oct 2025 · 12:10
J. Paolini
#8 · Italy
VS
A. Anisimova
#6 · USA
PAOLINI
2.36
·
ANISIMOVA
1.67

Odds

Market
Paolini
Anisimova
Winner
2.36
1.67
Total
line 17.5
1.13
Over 17.5
4.55
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.15
Over 18.0
4.2
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
1.74
-3.5 games
2.12
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.5 games
1.46
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 1.37Trend up

A. Anisimova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Anisimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Anisimova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -43 over recent matches.

DS 5.21Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Paolini
Stat
Anisimova
54.2%
Win rate
63.7%
147–124
W–L
130–74

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces3
Double faults3