Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning P. Badosa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Badosa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.
Recent form
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Brisbane | Hard | 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 6-3 6-2 | |
| Dubai | Hard | 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 4-6 7-6 7-6 | |
| WTA Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | |
| WTA Indian Wells | Hard | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 6-3 7-5 | |
| WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group | Hard | Badosa | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Stuttgart | Clay | 1/8-finals | Badosa | 2-6 6-4 6-7 | |
| Bucharest | Clay | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 5-7 6-7 | |
| Moscow 2 | Clay | Semi-finals | Badosa | 7-6 2-6 7-5 |

