WTA BrisbaneHard1/8-finals8 Jan 2026 · 03:50
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
P. Badosa
#102 · Spain
RYBAKINA
1.23
·
BADOSA
4.48

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Badosa
Winner
1.23
4.48

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.73Trend mixed

P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning P. Badosa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Badosa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -1.29Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Badosa
68.8%
Win rate
59.5%
207–94
W–L
131–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

53
Hard 41
Clay 12
E. Rybakina vs P. Badosa head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA BrisbaneHard1/8-finalsRybakina6-3 6-2
DubaiHard1/8-finalsRybakina4-6 7-6 7-6
WTA MiamiHard1/16-finalsRybakina3-6 7-5 6-3
WTA Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsRybakina6-3 7-5
WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World GroupHardBadosa6-2 3-6 6-4
StuttgartClay1/8-finalsBadosa2-6 6-4 6-7
BucharestClay1/16-finalsRybakina5-7 6-7
Moscow 2ClaySemi-finalsBadosa7-6 2-6 7-5