Odds
Player analysis
N. Basavareddy has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning N. Basavareddy has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Basavareddy vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Barton | 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Draxl | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Tien | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | L |
| 31 Mar | Draxl | 6-3 2-6 6-4 | W |
| 17 Mar | Vera | 3-6 2-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 8 Apr | Berrettini | 0-6 0-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 14 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-7 | W |

