Odds
Player analysis
M. Bellucci has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning M. Bellucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Bellucci has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Apr | Lajovic | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Darderi | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 31 Mar | Bennani | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Michelsen | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 17 Mar | Cassone | 3-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Apr | Shevchenko | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Droguet | 1-6 6-1 1-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Khachanov | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Duckworth | 6-7 6-7 | W |

