RomeClay1/32-finals9 May 2026 · 11:00
B. Nakashima
#32 · USA
VS
R. Bautista-Agut
#98 · Spain

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Bautista-Agut
Change
Winner
Total
line 20.0
1.32
Over 20.0
2.92
Under 20.0
Total
line 21.0
1.49
Over 21.0
2.4
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
4.08
-5.0 games
1.18
+5 games
Handicap
games
2.65
-4.0 games
1.4
+4 games

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS 0.92Trend mixed

R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.0, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Bautista-Agut has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS -2.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Bautista-Agut
%
Win rate
46.2%
W–L
12–14

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

02
Clay 01
Grass 01
B. Nakashima vs R. Bautista-Agut head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Monte CarloClay1/32-finalsBautista-Agut6-2 6-4
ATP HalleGrass1/8-finalsBautista-Agut5-7 6-7