Odds
Player analysis
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Apr | Shevchenko | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Droguet | 1-6 6-1 1-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Khachanov | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Duckworth | 6-7 6-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |