Odds
Player analysis
M. Beauge comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning M. Beauge has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Beauge vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
M. Karol comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.9 to 14.3, with at least one match where M. Karol was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Karol has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 9 Mar | Visker | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 8 Mar | Harper | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 8 Feb | Zahraj | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 26 Oct | Binda | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 5 Oct | Karol | 7-6 3-6 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Jan | Arnaboldi | 2-6 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 13 Jan | Masur | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 12 Jan | Kasnikowski | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | W |
| 11 Jan | Story | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 4 Jan | Kingsley | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |

