A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.2 (range: -14.9 to 26.9). Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -24.2 to 49.3, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.