E. Rybakina arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-26 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

K. Birrell comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.1 to 10.2, with at least one match where K. Birrell was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving K. Birrell vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.