Odds
Player analysis
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.6 to 10.9, with at least one match where A. Bublik was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Berrettini | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Struff | 3-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Medvedev | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Cerundolo | 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 7 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | 1/8-finals | Bublik | 5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4 | |
| ATP Adelaide | Hard | Semi-finals | Draper | 7-6 6-4 | |
| London | Grass | 1/8-finals | Draper | 6-7 6-7 |

