US OpenHard1/16-finals29 Aug 2025 · 20:15
E. Mertens
#21 · Belgium
VS
C. Bucsa
#30 · Spain
MERTENS
1.16
·
BUCSA
6.08

Odds

Market
Mertens
Bucsa
Winner
1.16
6.08

Player analysis

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.76Trend mixed

C. Bucsa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning C. Bucsa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Bucsa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.73Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Mertens
Stat
Bucsa
62%
Win rate
56.5%
253–155
W–L
134–103

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

32
Hard 32
E. Mertens vs C. Bucsa head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Indian WellsHard1/32-finalsMertens6-2 6-1
OsakaHard1/16-finalsMertens7-6 6-3
US OpenHard1/16-finalsBucsa6-3 5-7 3-6
DohaHard1/16-finalsMertens6-2 6-3
WTA BeijingHard1/16-finalsBucsa4-6 6-2 6-2