Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
J. M. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.9 to 16.8, with at least one match where J. M. Cerundolo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. M. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+40) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 14 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Draper | 1-6 5-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Martinez | 6-2 2-6 6-3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Nys | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 31 Mar | Majchrzak | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Zandschulp | 7-6 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 24 Feb | Garin | 6-3 3-6 3-6 | L |

