Odds
Player analysis
F. Cobolli shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.6, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Medvedev | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 27 Apr | Vallejo | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 25 Apr | Carabelli | 7-6 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Apr | Shelton | 2-6 5-7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Zverev | 3-6 3-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 29 Apr | Bellucci | 4-6 6-1 5-7 | L |
| 22 Apr | Lajovic | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 16 Apr | Rublev | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Martinez | 2-6 6-2 4-6 | W |
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |

