Odds
Player analysis
F. Cobolli shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.1 (range: -8.8 to 24.7). Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 25 Apr | Carabelli | 7-6 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Apr | Shelton | 2-6 5-7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Zverev | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Kopriva | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 15 Apr | Bergs | 6-2 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Apr | Lajovic | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 16 Apr | Rublev | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Martinez | 2-6 6-2 4-6 | W |
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Jan | Taberner | 6-4 6-0 6-3 | W |

