Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
D. Collins comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning D. Collins has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving D. Collins vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Mar | Rybakina | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Cristian | 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Fernandez | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Rybakina | 1-6 6-7 | L |
| 11 Mar | Bencic | 6-3 7-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 26 Aug | Cristian | 2-6 0-6 Ret. | L |
| 8 Aug | Townsend | 4-6 6-7 Ret. | L |
| 30 Jul | Gauff | 7-5 4-6 7-6 Ret. | L |
| 28 Jul | Tomova | 6-3 7-5 Ret. | W |
| 22 Jul | Linette | 7-5 6-4 Ret. | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston | Clay | Quarter-finals | Pegula | 1-6 6-3 6-0 | |
| WTA French Open | Clay | 1/64-finals | Pegula | 4-6 2-6 | |
| WTA Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Pegula | 6-1 7-6 | |
| Montreal | Hard | 1/8-finals | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 5-7 |

