MiamiHard1/8-finals25 Mar 2025 · 16:10
G. Dimitrov
#93 · Bulgaria
VS
B. Nakashima
#33 · USA
DIMITROV
1.63
·
NAKASHIMA
2.42

Odds

Market
Dimitrov
Nakashima
Winner
1.63
2.42

Player analysis

G. Dimitrov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.2, meaning G. Dimitrov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving G. Dimitrov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Dimitrov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS -6.23Trend mixed

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Dimitrov
Stat
Nakashima
62.3%
Win rate
63.1%
368–223
W–L
197–115

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces9
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces10
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

21
Hard 11
Clay 10
G. Dimitrov vs B. Nakashima head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHard1/8-finalsDimitrov6-4 7-5
US OpenHard1/32-finalsNakashima6-7 5-7 3-6
RomeClay1/32-finalsDimitrov6-3 6-4