Odds
Player analysis
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
T. Fritz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Draper | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Kovacevic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Majchrzak | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 30 Jan | Sinner | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Lehecka | 6-4 6-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Opelka | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Zandschulp | 3-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Michelsen | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fearnley | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4 | |
| ATP Shanghai | Hard | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 6-4 7-6 | |
| ATP Australian Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 7-6 4-6 6-2 6-3 | |
| ATP US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 1-6 4-6 4-6 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 0 - 2 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 7-6 7-6 | |
| Paris | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 6-4 6-3 |