Odds
Player analysis
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Tabilo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.4 to 30.2, with at least one match where A. Tabilo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Tabilo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Tabilo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Mar | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 6 Mar | Tabilo | 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 28 Feb | Tabilo | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Tabilo | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Tabilo | 7-5 6-3 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Djokovic | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 30 Jan | Djokovic | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | L |