BrisbaneHard1/16-finals6 Jan 2026 · 02:10
B. Nakashima
#33 · USA
VS
A. Davidovich Fokina
#17 · Spain
NAKASHIMA
2.4
·
FOKINA
1.63

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Fokina
Winner
2.4
1.63

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS -1.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Fokina
63.1%
Win rate
56.2%
197–115
W–L
154–120

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces10
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Hard 12
B. Nakashima vs A. Davidovich Fokina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BrisbaneHard1/16-finalsNakashima7-6 6-4
ATP MiamiHard1/32-finalsFokina6-4 7-6
Adelaide 2Hard1/16-finalsFokina2-6 6-7