Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
T. Griekspoor has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 13.6, with at least one match where T. Griekspoor was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 14 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Draper | 1-6 5-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Monfils | 6-7 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 2 Apr | Assche | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Mensik | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Bublik | 6-3 7-6 | W |

