Odds
Player analysis
T. Griekspoor comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.0, meaning T. Griekspoor has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Griekspoor vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 12.8, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Apr | Dzumhur | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 14 Apr | Shapovalov | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 5 Apr | Monfils | 6-7 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 2 Apr | Assche | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |

