BeijingHard1/16-finals28 Sep 2025 · 10:15
J. Paolini
#8 · Italy
VS
S. Kenin
#66 · USA
PAOLINI
1.32
·
KENIN
3.78

Odds

Market
Paolini
Kenin
Winner
1.32
3.78

Player analysis

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 1.37Trend up

S. Kenin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning S. Kenin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Kenin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.47Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Paolini
Stat
Kenin
54.2%
Win rate
57.5%
147–124
W–L
185–137

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Hard 12
J. Paolini vs S. Kenin head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BeijingHard1/16-finalsPaolini6-3 6-0
DubaiHard1/8-finalsKenin6-4 6-0
GuangzhouHardQuarter-finalsKenin7-5 6-1