Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Apr | Keys | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Keys | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Keys | 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 1 Apr | Keys | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Zheng | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 28 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 27 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 23 Apr | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 28 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Brisbane | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 | |
| Indian Wells | Hard | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-0 6-1 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | Final | Keys | 3-6 6-2 5-7 | |
| WTA Beijing | Hard | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-7 6-7 | |
| WTA Wimbledon | Grass | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 2-6 4-6 | |
| Berlin | Clay | 1/8-finals | Keys | 4-6 6-1 5-7 |