TokyoHard1/8-finals26 Sep 2025 · 05:55
S. Shimabukuro
#112 · Japan
VS
S. Korda
#41 · USA

Odds

Market
Shimabukuro
Korda
Winner

Player analysis

S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -8.04Trend mixed

S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 9.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Shimabukuro
Stat
Korda
58.8%
Win rate
62.5%
163–114
W–L
167–100

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2