BrisbaneHardSemi-finals10 Jan 2026 · 04:10
A. Kovacevic
#98 · USA
VS
B. Nakashima
#33 · USA
KOVACEVIC
3.38
·
NAKASHIMA
1.37

Odds

Market
Kovacevic
Nakashima
Winner
3.38
1.37
Total
line 20.5
1.3
Over 20.5
2.97
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.34
Over 21.0
2.83
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
2.45
-2.0 games
1.6
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.17
-2.5 games
1.74
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 11.5, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 0.37Trend mixed

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Kovacevic
Stat
Nakashima
57.6%
Win rate
63.1%
174–128
W–L
197–115

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces10
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces10
Double faults1