Odds
Player analysis
T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.3, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 18.0, with at least one match where A. Mannarino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 2 Apr | Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Moutet | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Nava | 6-2 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Aguilar | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Paul | 6-2 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Zhang | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Harris | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Bicknell | 7-6 2-6 2-6 | W |

