ATP DubaiHard1/16-finals23 Feb 2026 · 08:00
T. Machac
#53 · Czech Republic
VS
D. Shapovalov
#38 · Canada

Odds

Market
Machac
Shapovalov
Change
Winner

Player analysis

T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.3, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.

DS -7.33Trend mixed

D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.8, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Shapovalov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -7.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Machac
Stat
Shapovalov
64.7%
Win rate
59.8%
154–84
W–L
213–143

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults5