Odds
Player analysis
V. Vacherot has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Apr | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 24 Mar | Fils | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Berrettini | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Navone | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Ruud | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Altmaier | 4-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Moutet | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Nava | 6-2 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |

