CincinnatiHard1/32-finals10 Aug 2025 · 17:10
A. De Minaur
#6 · Australia
VS
R. Opelka
#67 · USA
MINAUR
1.24
·
OPELKA
4.6

Odds

Market
Minaur
Opelka
Winner
1.24
4.6

Player analysis

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -2.61Trend mixed

R. Opelka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.9 to 11.8, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 0.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Minaur
Stat
Opelka
64.7%
Win rate
56.6%
255–139
W–L
154–118

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces20
Double faults3
BP converted40%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

21
Hard 01
Grass 10
Indoor 10
A. De Minaur vs R. Opelka head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
CincinnatiHard1/32-finalsOpelka6-7 4-6
LondonGrass1/16-finalsMinaur4-6 4-6
BaselIndoorSemi-finalsMinaur6-7 7-6 6-7