Odds
Player analysis
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 21 Mar | Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Kypson | 6-1 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Minaur | 6-3 6-2 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Tiafoe | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open | Hard | 1/16-finals | Minaur | 3-6 4-6 5-7 | |
| Toronto | Hard | 1/8-finals | Minaur | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | |
| Paris | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Tiafoe | 3-6 6-7 |