Odds
Player analysis
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sonego | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Jan | Bublik | 6-7 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Musetti | 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | 1/16-finals | Tiafoe | 3-6 2-6 | |
| ATP Stuttgart | Clay | Quarter-finals | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-7 2-6 | |
| ATP Rome | Clay | 1/16-finals | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | |
| Parma | Clay | 1/8-finals | Tiafoe | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |

