Odds
Player analysis
S. Ofner has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 12.7, with at least one match where S. Ofner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Ofner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 28 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 27 Mar | Cecchinato | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 25 Mar | Canas | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | Skatov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Baena | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 5 Apr | Burruchaga | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Etcheverry | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Vallejo | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Fils | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | L |

