Odds
Player analysis
A. Sevastova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning A. Sevastova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Sevastova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sevastova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
Recent form
0W 5L last 5
| 13 Jan | Osuigwe | 2-6 0-6 | L |
| 3 Jan | Kraus | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 11 Dec | Rajaonah | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Joint | 6-2 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 26 Sep | Paolini | 6-1 6-3 Ret. | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 16 Feb | Kalinskaya | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 13 Feb | Mboko | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Cocciaretto | 7-5 6-4 | W |

