MadridClay1/32-finals24 Apr 2025 · 16:15
A. Sevastova
#195 · Latvia
VS
J. Ostapenko
#40 · Latvia
SEVASTOVA
4.11
·
OSTAPENKO
1.26

Odds

Market
Sevastova
Ostapenko
Winner
4.11
1.26
Total
line 15.5
1.12
Over 15.5
4.9
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.15
Over 16.0
4.45
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
3.1
-2.0 games
1.34
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.86
-2.5 games
1.39
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sevastova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning A. Sevastova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Sevastova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sevastova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -12.16Trend mixed

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.62Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sevastova
Stat
Ostapenko
62.6%
Win rate
61.2%
114–68
W–L
79–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults7

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
A. Sevastova vs J. Ostapenko head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/32-finalsSevastova7-6 6-2