Odds
Player analysis
J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Y. Yuan comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning Y. Yuan has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Y. Yuan vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 20 Mar | Townsend | 3-6 6-1 2-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Gibson | 7-5 2-6 6-1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tomljanovic | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Potapova | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 1 Apr | Cocciaretto | 0-6 5-7 | L |
| 31 Mar | Sherif | 6-2 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 29 Mar | Day | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Persson | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 17 Mar | Birrell | 6-2 2-6 6-4 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/64-finals | Paolini | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | |
| WTA Wuhan | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 4-6 3-6 | |
| WTA Beijing | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 6-2 3-6 4-6 |

