Odds
Player analysis
M. Vrbensky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.8, meaning M. Vrbensky has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Vrbensky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Vrbensky has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
T. Paroulek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Paroulek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 16 Mar | Negritu | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Paulson | 4-6 7-5 6-7 | W |
| 22 Feb | Lokoli | 7-6 3-6 0-6 | L |
| 16 Feb | Dodig | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 15 Feb | Bertrand | 6-4 6-3 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 26 Oct | Snoussi | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 17 Sep | Pavlovic | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 15 Sep | Vrbensky | 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 8 Sep | Bocchi | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 7 Sep | Pieczonka | 6-3 7-5 | W |

